About the Speaker

Sam Stovall
Chief Investment Strategist
CFRA Research
As chief investment strategist, Sam Stovall serves as analyst, publisher, and communicator of CFRA's outlooks for the economy, market, and sectors. He focuses on market history and valuations, as well as industry momentum strategies. Mr. Stovall is the author of The Seven Rules of Wall Street and writes weekly Sector Watch and Investment Policy Committee meeting notes on CFRA's MarketScope Advisor platform. His work is also found in CFRA's flagship weekly newsletter The Outlook.
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Speaker Schedule
Thursday, May 22, 2025, 9:30 am - 10:05 am EDT
Recovery of Recession?
Sam Stovall |CFRA Research

Investors continue to face stiff headwinds in 2025. Bull markets since WWII that went on to celebrate their third birthday posted gains averaging only 5%. The average drawdown for Republican presidents in their inaugural year was more than 15%. Nearly two-thirds of all bear markets since WWII started with double-digit declines that recovered to within -2% and +3.4% of the 200D MA before reversing and setting an even lower low. Are tariffs still headline rhetoric or recession-inducing realities? S&P 500 EPS growth for all of 2025 was pegged at nearly 13% at the start of the year. As of mid-May, that forecast was closer to 7%. Finally, 2024 was the sixth year in the past eight years when the tech sector rose by 30% or more in price. In this presentation, Sam Stovall, Chief Investment Strategist at CFRA Research, will discuss CFRA’s forecast for a full-year gain in price for the S&P 500 and show cautious investors how a portfolio consisting of only two sectors delivered 95% of Tech’s return since 1990 with 40% lower volatility.

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