Session Details

Thursday, May 22, 2025 | 9:30 AM - 10:05 AM EDT

Recovery of Recession?

Investors continue to face stiff headwinds in 2025. Bull markets since WWII that went on to celebrate their third birthday posted gains averaging only 5%. The average drawdown for Republican presidents in their inaugural year was more than 15%. Nearly two-thirds of all bear markets since WWII started with double-digit declines that recovered to within -2% and +3.4% of the 200D MA before reversing and setting an even lower low. Are tariffs still headline rhetoric or recession-inducing realities? S&P 500 EPS growth for all of 2025 was pegged at nearly 13% at the start of the year. As of mid-May, that forecast was closer to 7%. Finally, 2024 was the sixth year in the past eight years when the tech sector rose by 30% or more in price. In this presentation, Sam Stovall, Chief Investment Strategist at CFRA Research, will discuss CFRA’s forecast for a full-year gain in price for the S&P 500 and show cautious investors how a portfolio consisting of only two sectors delivered 95% of Tech’s return since 1990 with 40% lower volatility.

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Sam Stovall
Chief Investment Strategist
CFRA Research

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