About the Speaker

Gary Shilling
Columnist
Forbes
A. Gary Shilling, PhD, is an economic consultant and investment adviser, as well as a long-time columnist for Forbes magazine. He is president of A. Gary Shilling & Co., Inc., an investment adviser, and publishes A. Gary Shilling's INSIGHT, a monthly report of economic forecasts and investment strategy. Dr. Shilling is a columnist for Bloomberg View online. He has authored eight books, his newest and best-selling is The Age of Deleveraging: Investment Strategies for a Decade of Slow Growth and Deflation.
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Speaker Schedule
Tuesday, November 12, 2024, 9:30 am - 10:00 am EST
Will Economic Softening Deteriorate into a Recession?
Gary Shilling |Forbes

The Fed and other major central banks have panicked, abandoning their 2% inflation targets and slashing their policy rates in view of sluggish economics, weakening labor markets, the East Coast dock strike, and growing Middle East problems. Interest rate cuts have fueled equities but probably come too late to forestall further economic weakness.

A US recession remains a distinct possibility. If it unfolds, a normal 30% drop in average equity prices would be likely. With declining inflation and their safe-haven appeal, Treasury bonds would benefit, as would the dollar. 

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